Simulating the effects of climate change on Fraser River flood scenarios - phase 2 final report
Date
2015-05-26
Authors
Shrestha, Rajesh R.
Schnorbus, Markus A.
Cannon, Alex J.
Zwiers, Francis W.
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC)
Abstract
Projecting streamflow extremes under nonstationarity is important for managing river flooding in a changing climate. The objective of this study is to develop a nonstationary modelling framework for projecting future changes in the annual exceedance probabilities of streamflow extremes for the Fraser River at Hope station (WSC gauge 08MF005) using phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) generation of global climate models (GCMs). Nonstationarity is represented by the variable parameter Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution, which provides a flexible approach for estimating the distribution of extremes.
Description
Keywords
UN SDG 13: Climate Action, #project and summary reports, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC)