A global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in the CLASSIC model

dc.contributor.authorDeepak S. N., Raj
dc.contributor.authorSeiler, Christian
dc.contributor.authorMonahan, Adam H.
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-02T22:55:28Z
dc.date.available2024-10-02T22:55:28Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractLand surface models (LSMs) have become indispensable for understanding the role of the terrestrial biosphere in the global climate system. However, the ability of LSMs to reproduce observed carbon, water, and energy fluxes varies considerably among models. Some of these deficiencies can be attributed to parameter uncertainties. Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) quantifies model output uncertainties caused by the uncertainty in model inputs. Our study conducts, for the very first time, a GSA for the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles (CLASSIC) model. Focusing on a site in the humid tropics, we evaluate the model's sensitivity for a wide range of ecosystem variables (17 in total). Considering a total of 90 parameters, we identify the top five most influential parameters using the qualitative Morris method per output variable. These influential parameters are then analysed using the quantitative Sobol' method. The analysis shows that the maximum carboxylation rate parameter has the greatest influence on almost all output variables considered. The impact of the maximum carboxylation rate is partially regulated by the canopy extinction coefficient's uncertainty. The results of this research will guide future efforts to optimize the model's performance more efficiently, focussing on a small subset of the 90 parameters.
dc.description.reviewstatusReviewed
dc.description.scholarlevelFaculty
dc.description.sponsorshipRaj Deepak S.N., Christian Seiler and Adam H. Monahan acknowledge the support of the Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) [funding reference RGPIN-03787-2018].
dc.identifier.citationDeepak S. N., R., Seiler, C., & Monahan, A. H. (2024). A global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in the CLASSIC model. Atmosphere-Ocean, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2024.2396426
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2024.2396426
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1828/20478
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherAtmosphere-Ocean
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internationalen
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subject.departmentSchool of Earth and Ocean Sciences
dc.titleA global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in the CLASSIC model
dc.typeArticle

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