Shared automated electric vehicle prospects for low carbon road transportation in British Columbia, Canada

dc.contributor.authorAtabay, Orhan
dc.contributor.authorDjilali, Ned
dc.contributor.authorCrawford, Curran
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-19T19:50:09Z
dc.date.available2022-10-19T19:50:09Z
dc.date.copyright2022en_US
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractThis study explores the long-term energy use implications of electrification, automation and sharing of road vehicles in British Columbia, Canada. Energy use is first analyzed for the years 1990–2016 for forward forecasting, and hypothetical scenarios ranging from conservative to disruptive, incorporating various effects of road vehicle electrification, sharing and automation, as well as influences of other technology disruptions, such as online shopping and e-learning are presented and used to project the road transportation energy use in B.C. to 2060. Transportation energy use projections are compared to those of the Canadian Energy Regulator (CER). When considering only the effect of vehicle electrification, the scenarios show higher energy savings compared to CER’s scenarios. The combined impact of vehicle electrification and automation leads to decreased energy use to 2060 for all scenarios considered. The energy savings for all scenarios, except for the conservative one, are higher than CER’s projections. When the effects of vehicle electrification, automation and sharing are merged, all scenarios yield energy savings beyond the CER projections. Inclusion of other technology disruptions and the effects of pandemics like COVID-19 reduce transportation demand and provide further energy savings. The BAU scenario given in this study shows energy use decreases compared to 2016 of 26.3%, 49%, 62.24%, 72.1% for the years 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2060 respectively.en_US
dc.description.reviewstatusRevieweden_US
dc.description.scholarlevelFacultyen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by PICS’ (Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions) “Transportation Futures for British Columbia” project.en_US
dc.identifier.citationAtabay, O., Djilali, N., & Crawford, C. (2022). Shared Automated Electric Vehicle Prospects for Low carbon road transportation in British Columbia, Canada. Vehicles, 4(1), 102–123. https://doi.org/10.3390/vehicles4010007en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/vehicles4010007
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1828/14298
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherVehiclesen_US
dc.subjectenergy use
dc.subjectroad transportation
dc.subjectelectric vehicles
dc.subjectautomated vehicles
dc.subjectshared vehicles
dc.subjectInstitute for Integrated Energy Systems (IESVic)
dc.subject.departmentDepartment of Mechanical Engineering
dc.titleShared automated electric vehicle prospects for low carbon road transportation in British Columbia, Canadaen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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