Supply chain serviceability under climate change with application in the Arctic

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dc.contributor.authorGuitouni, Adel
dc.contributor.authorKhorshidvand, Behrooz
dc.contributor.authorGilani Larimi, Niloofar
dc.contributor.authorBoukhtout, Abdeslem
dc.contributor.authorQasrawi, Yazan
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-12T21:25:33Z
dc.date.available2026-03-12T21:25:33Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.description.abstractThis study evaluates the resilience of Arctic supply chains to climate change by introducing the concept of supply chain serviceability. We define serviceability as a function of vulnerabilities in transportation nodes and modes under disruption threats, focusing on climate change impacts. Using climate data from Northern Canada, we assess serviceability under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP1-2.6 (low emissions), SSP2-4.5 (moderate emissions), and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions). We use Monte Carlo simulations to predict climate-induced impacts on six airports and three aircraft types. The detailed analysis of Yellowknife and Iqaluit airports and military aircraft validates our methodology. We include the results for additional airports and aircraft types in the e-companion. Our findings indicate average serviceability index declines of up to 51 permafrost degradation, extreme weather events, and infrastructure vulnerabilities. Our study provides actionable managerial insights and theoretical contributions to support supply chain resilience initiatives.
dc.description.reviewstatusReviewed
dc.description.scholarlevelFaculty
dc.description.sponsorshipDefence Research and Development Canada
dc.identifier.citationGuitouni, A., Khorshidvand, B., Larimi, N. G., Boukhtouta, A., & Qasrawi, Y. (2025). Supply chain serviceability under climate change with application in the Arctic. Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment, 139, 104591. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.104591
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.104591
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1828/23492
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTransportation Research Part D
dc.rightsCC BY
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectsupply chain
dc.subjectserviceability
dc.subjectvulnerability
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectshared socioeconomic pathways
dc.subject.departmentPeter B. Gustavson School of Business
dc.titleSupply chain serviceability under climate change with application in the Arctic
dc.typeArticle

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