Global ecosystems and fire: Multi-model assessment of fire-induced tree-cover and carbon storage reduction

dc.contributor.authorLasslop, Gitta
dc.contributor.authorHantson, Stijn
dc.contributor.authorHarrison, Sandy P.
dc.contributor.authorBachelet, Dominique
dc.contributor.authorBurton, Chantelle
dc.contributor.authorForkel, Matthias
dc.contributor.authorForrest, Matthew
dc.contributor.authorLi, Fang
dc.contributor.authorMelton, Joe R.
dc.contributor.authorYue, Chao
dc.contributor.authorArchibald, Sally
dc.contributor.authorScheiter, Simon
dc.contributor.authorArneth, Almut
dc.contributor.authorHickler, Thomas
dc.contributor.authorSitch, Stephen
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-25T19:05:30Z
dc.date.available2020-09-25T19:05:30Z
dc.date.copyright2020en_US
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractIn this study, we use simulations from seven global vegetation models to provide the first multi‐model estimate of fire impacts on global tree cover and the carbon cycle under current climate and anthropogenic land use conditions, averaged for the years 2001–2012. Fire globally reduces the tree covered area and vegetation carbon storage by 10%. Regionally, the effects are much stronger, up to 20% for certain latitudinal bands, and 17% in savanna regions. Global fire effects on total carbon storage and carbon turnover times are lower with the effect on gross primary productivity (GPP) close to 0. We find the strongest impacts of fire in savanna regions. Climatic conditions in regions with the highest burned area differ from regions with highest absolute fire impact, which are characterized by higher precipitation. Our estimates of fire‐induced vegetation change are lower than previous studies. We attribute these differences to different definitions of vegetation change and effects of anthropogenic land use, which were not considered in previous studies and decreases the impact of fire on tree cover. Accounting for fires significantly improves the spatial patterns of simulated tree cover, which demonstrates the need to represent fire in dynamic vegetation models. Based upon comparisons between models and observations, process understanding and representation in models, we assess a higher confidence in the fire impact on tree cover and vegetation carbon compared to GPP, total carbon storage and turnover times. We have higher confidence in the spatial patterns compared to the global totals of the simulated fire impact. As we used an ensemble of state‐of‐the‐art fire models, including effects of land use and the ensemble median or mean compares better to observational datasets than any individual model, we consider the here presented results to be the current best estimate of global fire effects on ecosystems.en_US
dc.description.reviewstatusRevieweden_US
dc.description.scholarlevelFacultyen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study was part of the global Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP). G.L. was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) 338130981. SiS was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation)—SCHE 1719/2‐1. F.L. was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41475099 and 41875137). S.P.H. acknowledge support from the ERC‐project GC2.0 (Global Change 2.0: Unlocking the past for a clearer future grant no. 694481). A.A. and S.H. acknowledge funding from the Helmholtz Association. C.B. was supported by the Newton Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership Brazil (CSSP Brazil). G.L. would like to thank Christopher Heislitz for the downloading and processing of satellite data. We thank the anonymous reviewer for helpful comments.en_US
dc.identifier.citationLasslop, G., Hantson, S., Harrison, S. P., Bachelet, D., Burton, C., Forkel, M., Forrest, M., … & Sitch, S. (2020). Global ecosystems and fire: Multi-model assessment of fire-induced tree-cover and carbon storage reduction. Global Change Biology, 26(9), 5027-5041. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15160.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15160
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1828/12143
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherGlobal Change Biologyen_US
dc.subjectglobal fire modellingen_US
dc.subjectterrestrial carbon cycleen_US
dc.subjectvegetation modellingen_US
dc.subjectwildfiresen_US
dc.titleGlobal ecosystems and fire: Multi-model assessment of fire-induced tree-cover and carbon storage reductionen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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